Insights

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10.26.15

EUROPE AND THE EMERGING MARKET SLOWDOWN

Special European Issue Focus

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10.19.15

What’s Holding Back the Fed?

Special Issue Focus

 

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07.30.15

The possible impact of ‘Grexit’?

Special European Issue Focus

 

 

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07.21.15

Secular Stagnation?

Special Mid-Year Issue Focus

 

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04.27.15

 Highlights include:

  • Global Overview and Forecast Summary
  • Activity
  • Central Bank Watch
  • Interest Rate Overview
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02.03.15

WILL RUSSIA DERAIL THE EUROZONE RECOVERY?

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02.02.15

 Highlights include:

  • Global Overview and Forecast Summary
  • Activity
  • Central Bank Watch
  • Interest Rate Overview
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01.28.15

Highlights include:

  • The economy enters 2015 with considerable forward momentum especially from the labor market which added nearly three million jobs in 2014, the best year since 1999
  • Despite stronger employment and GDP growth, 10-year yields fell in 2014, indicating that many investors are not convinced that recent economic gains are long-lasting
  • We believe the gains will persist and project the economy to grow almost 3.5 percent in 2015, as lower gasoline prices spur household spending.   We also expect the Fed to raise rates by mid-year, though the pace of increases thereafter is likely to be slower than in the past
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10.22.14

Highlights include:

  • Ebola fears exacerbated concerns of a global slowdown causing world stock markets to drop and interest rates to fall
  • Nevertheless, the U.S. economy is performing well, with rising consumer spending supported by strong job numbers and declining gasoline prices
  • Non-Residential investment rebounded from a drop earlier in the year, but the residential-housing side of the market has lost steam of late
  • We expect growth in excess of 3.0 percent over the next 12 months, and think that by mid-2015, the Fed will begin the process of raising interest rates.  However, if growth falters, the Fed will be in no hurry to raise rates
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